Pre-tourney Rankings
Missouri Valley
2016-17


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
9 Wichita St. 100.0%   10   29 - 4 17 - 1 29 - 4 17 - 1 +18.6      +9.8 16 +8.7 17 71.9 77 +15.3 24 +17.7 2
59 Illinois St. 18.4%   26 - 6 17 - 1 26 - 6 17 - 1 +9.3      +1.0 145 +8.3 20 61.9 309 +11.6 41 +21.9 1
102 Loyola Chicago 0.0%   16 - 14 8 - 10 16 - 14 8 - 10 +4.2      +2.4 104 +1.8 111 63.7 271 +1.2 139 +0.3 5
130 Missouri St. 0.0%   16 - 16 7 - 11 16 - 16 7 - 11 +1.8      +2.5 100 -0.7 191 64.1 266 +0.6 147 -0.7 7
144 Southern Illinois 0.0%   16 - 16 9 - 9 16 - 16 9 - 9 +1.2      +0.4 158 +0.8 148 62.3 304 +1.1 141 +2.2 4
153 Northern Iowa 0.0%   13 - 16 9 - 9 13 - 16 9 - 9 +0.6      -5.0 295 +5.6 49 59.4 335 +2.2 122 +2.3 3
154 Evansville 0.0%   14 - 17 6 - 12 14 - 17 6 - 12 +0.6      -0.1 167 +0.6 159 63.7 272 -0.2 163 -2.3 8
191 Indiana St. 0.0%   10 - 20 5 - 13 10 - 20 5 - 13 -1.5      -3.3 256 +1.8 112 70.8 99 -2.6 209 -3.7 10
199 Bradley 0.0%   12 - 20 7 - 11 12 - 20 7 - 11 -2.1      -2.9 244 +0.7 156 65.2 241 -1.5 191 -0.4 6
255 Drake 0.0%   6 - 23 5 - 13 6 - 23 5 - 13 -5.4      -1.5 207 -4.0 284 71.6 86 -8.0 287 -3.3 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
Wichita St. 1.0 100.0
Illinois St. 1.0 100.0
Loyola Chicago 5.0 100.0
Missouri St. 6.0 100.0
Southern Illinois 3.0 100.0
Northern Iowa 3.0 100.0
Evansville 8.0 100.0
Indiana St. 9.0 100.0
Bradley 6.0 100.0
Drake 9.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Wichita St. 17 - 1 100.0
Illinois St. 17 - 1 100.0
Loyola Chicago 8 - 10 100.0
Missouri St. 7 - 11 100.0
Southern Illinois 9 - 9 100.0
Northern Iowa 9 - 9 100.0
Evansville 6 - 12 100.0
Indiana St. 5 - 13 100.0
Bradley 7 - 11 100.0
Drake 5 - 13 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Wichita St. 100.0% 100.0
Illinois St. 100.0% 100.0
Loyola Chicago
Missouri St.
Southern Illinois
Northern Iowa
Evansville
Indiana St.
Bradley
Drake


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Wichita St. 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 10   0.0 0.1 1.0 3.1 14.8 17.6 15.5 17.9 24.2 5.7 0.0
Illinois St. 18.4% 0.0% 18.4% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 5.2 12.7 0.1 81.6 18.4%
Loyola Chicago 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Missouri St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Southern Illinois 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Northern Iowa 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Evansville 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Indiana St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Bradley 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Drake 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Wichita St. 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 69.3% 33.7% 18.3% 8.8% 4.3% 1.9%
Illinois St. 18.4% 17.6% 8.3% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Loyola Chicago 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Missouri St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Southern Illinois 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Northern Iowa 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Evansville 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Indiana St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bradley 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Drake 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.2 81.6 18.4
1st Round 100.0% 1.1 91.7 8.3
2nd Round 70.0% 0.7 30.0 68.4 1.5
Sweet Sixteen 34.0% 0.3 66.0 33.9 0.2
Elite Eight 18.4% 0.2 81.6 18.4 0.0
Final Four 8.9% 0.1 91.1 8.9
Final Game 4.3% 0.0 95.7 4.3
Champion 1.9% 0.0 98.1 1.9